Nevada
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 71.4058Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Penn St B10 ( 7- 6, 85.2) 11-46 906 H Sacro. St 20-17 913 H Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 66.4) 13-14 920 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-31 1004 A Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 17-20 1011 H San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 44-10 1018 A New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 22-24 1024 H Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 3-24 1108 A Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 14-51 1115 H San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 55-10 1122 A Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 70.9) 13- 7 1129 H UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 17-42
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Penn St 11-46 -35 -19 0.00
913 H Middle Tenn 13-14 -1 10 --- -11.22
920 A We Kentucky 16-31 -15 -9 -- -4.99
1004 A Fresno St 17-20 -3 -8 ++ 5.29
1011 H San Diego St 44-10 34 -1 +++ 14.88
1018 A New Mexico 22-24 -2 -11 +++ 9.36
1024 H Boise State 3-24 -21 -3 --- -10.58
1108 A Utah St 14-51 -37 -9 -- -4.61
1115 H San Jose St 55-10 45 8 +++ 6.31
1122 A Wyoming 13- 7 6 -5 +++ 10.73
1129 H UNLV 17-42 -25 1 --- -15.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Middle Tenn 13-14 -1 10 --- -11.22 1024 H Boise State 3-24 -21 -3 --- -10.58 1129 H UNLV 17-42 -25 1 --- -15.17 920 A We Kentucky 16-31 -15 -9 -- -4.99 1108 A Utah St 14-51 -37 -9 -- -4.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H San Diego St 44-10 34 -1 +++ 14.88 1018 A New Mexico 22-24 -2 -11 +++ 9.36 1115 H San Jose St 55-10 45 8 +++ 6.31 1122 A Wyoming 13- 7 6 -5 +++ 10.73 1004 A Fresno St 17-20 -3 -8 ++ 5.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Penn St ( 7- 6, 85.2) 11-46 -14.70 36.52 5.26 1.16 -5.47
3 H Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 66.4) 13-14 -33.45 17.77 -5.26 1.16 -22.44
3 A We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-31 -24.75 26.47 5.26 1.16 -11.29
3 A Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 17-20 -25.47 25.75 5.26 1.16 -11.71
3 H San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 44-10 -22.36 28.86 -5.26 1.16 54.71
3 A New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 22-24 -22.39 28.83 5.26 1.16 -9.93
3 H Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 3-24 -19.81 31.41 -5.26 1.16 -14.53
3 A Utah St ( 7- 7, 75.5) 14-51 -24.37 26.85 5.26 1.16 -11.07
3 H San Jose St ( 3- 9, 69.0) 55-10 -30.92 20.30 -5.26 1.16 34.87
3 A Wyoming ( 5- 7, 70.9) 13- 7 -29.02 22.20 5.26 1.16 63.66
3 H UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 17-42 -24.41 26.81 -5.26 1.16 -17.19
------
49.60
|
winning pts = 153.2366 losing points = -103.6403
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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